杨逢珉:经济学博士,华东理工大学商学院教授,博士生导师,华东理工大学欧洲研究所所长,主要从事国际贸易研究。
F752
本文在新新贸易理论的基础上,收集整理了1996~2013年HS农产品6位编码共计达727种农产品的贸易数据,借鉴对出口增长因素分析的创新型研究方法,从扩展边际、价格边际和数量边际三个方面分析了中国对日农产品出口增长的原因,以及这三元边际变量对出口竞争力影响的程度。实证研究表明:扩展边际不是中国对日农产品增长的主要原因,即目前中国农产品出口日本以量取胜的基本模式并未发生根本性改变;数量边际在短期内可以有效提高中国对日出口农产品的竞争力;价格边际对中国农产品出口日本有明显的拉动作用,而且,价格边际对竞争优势的影响也最为明显。
Based on New Trade Theory, this paper collects and collates Agricultural Trade Data of HS 6-digit that amounts to 727 pieces from 1996 to 2013. Drawing lessons from the innovative research methods of analyzing export growth, the paper explains the reason why China’s agricultural exports to Japan show a growth in ternary margins: extensive, price and quantity margin, and then analyzes the extent of China's export competitiveness of the ternary marginal variables. Confirmed that studies have shown that: extensive margin is not the dominant reason for the growth that China’s agricultural exports to Japan, that is, China’s pattern of the amount of win is unchanged essentially, quantity margin could enhance the competitive ability of China’s agricultural exports effectively in the short term; price margin plays a stronger role in driving China’s agricultural exports forward, what's more, it has effect on competitive advantage significantly.
杨逢珉,李文霞.中国对日本农产品出口的三元边际分析[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2015,(5):24-35.
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