张帆:上海对外经贸大学国际经贸学院副教授,经济学博士。研究方向:世界经济、国际政治经济学。
F743.1/DF96
众所周知,WTO多哈回合谈判自2001年启动以来步履维艰,时至今日依然处于困境之中。本文将不同的学术观点统合在国际公共产品理论的视角下,对多哈回合困境的成因进行了分析,并对WTO全球多边贸易体制的前景进行了展望。本文认为,进入新世纪以来,随着美国实力的相对衰落和全球霸权的不断式微,其对全球贸易公共产品的提供能力下降,提供意愿降低,是多哈回合谈判陷于困境的主要原因。此外, GATT/WTO在公平性问题上存在过多历史“欠账”,以及区域性贸易公共产品兴起的冲击,也是重要原因。但是,WTO并不会走向所谓“死亡”,当前国际贸易公共产品提供模式,已从传统的单一霸权模式转变为二元混合模式。WTO必须适应形势发展,进行体制机制改革以提高全球贸易公共产品的供给效率。而中国应抓住历史机遇,积极参与和主导全球贸易公共产品的提供,推动多哈回合取得进展并最终完成。
Since the beginning in 2001, WTO Doha Round Negotiation has encountered so many difficulties and frustrations, and now is still in stalemate. Based on Public Goods Theory of IPE, this paper analyzed main reasons of Doha Round stalemate, and looked into the future of WTO. The main points of this paper are as follow: Before Doha Round, WTO can be regarded as a kind of global trade public goods for which USA stood at the dominant position to provide. Since entering the new century, with the declining of American hegemony, the capability and desire of providing international public goods by USA have been decreasing. As global trade public goods, GATT/WTO owes a lot to those developing members on development issues. Meanwhile, regional trade public goods exerted fierce strike on global trade public goods. All above factors gave rise to Doha Round stalemate. But, WTO is not going to “die”, because international community still need global trade public goods platform. As the same time, it does need reform to increase efficiency of providing global trade public goods. Now the mode of providing trade public goods in the world has been converting from unitary-hegemony mode to binary-mixture mode. During this process, China should try best to push Doha Round to succeed, and in this way, participate in and lead providing global trade public goods more actively than before.
张帆.国际公共产品理论视角下的多哈回合困境与WTO的未来*[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2017,(4):5-17.
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