唐建伟:金融学博士、博士后、高级经济师,交通银行金融研究中心副总经理、首席研究员。研究方向:宏观经济,金融学。
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本文基于当前国际国内经济金融环境,分析了外部环境面临的四大不确定性,以及内部环境的四大确定性。结合疫情冲击后国内经济金融运行情况,本文认为,当前我国应向改革要动力,通过改革来释放中国经济增长的潜能。同时,要加大对外开放、加强国际合作,以更高水平对外开放倒逼深层次改革。本文还展望了2020年下半年宏观经济金融的运行方向,并估计了相关宏观经济金融指标的运行区间或数值。
Based on the current international and domestic economic and financial environment, this paperanalyzes the four major uncertainties facing the external environment, as well as the four major internalenvironmental certainty. In the light of the domestic economic and financial performance after the impact ofthe epidemic, it is proposed that China should now turn to reform for power and release the China's economicgrowth potential. At the same time, it is necessary to increase the opening up to the outside world, strengtheninternational cooperation, and force deep-level reforms with higher levels of opening up to the outside world.Finally, this paper looks forward to the direction of macroeconomic and financial operations in the second halfof 2020 and estimates the relevant macroeconomic and financial indicators of the Running interval or value.
唐建伟,刘学智,陈冀.向内而生——2020年下半年中国宏观经济展望[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2020,(5):65-77.
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