王新奎:上海WTO事务咨询中心理事长,上海市决策咨询委员会委员,中国(海南)自由贸易试验区(自由贸易港)咨询委员会专家。曾任全国工商联副主席、上海市政协副主席、上海市人民政府参事室主任、上海对外经贸大学校长,经济学博士,教授,博导。研究方向:世界经济。
F113/F124
以2018年初美国对中国发动“301调查”为标志,全球经济正式进入“大变局”阶段。这一阶段将长期呈现全球经济“再平衡”、全球贸易规则重构、数字经济全球化鸿沟扩大三大特征。我国对外开放外部环境也发生了变化:1.全球供应链和生产布局调整速度加快;2.重构不同市场结构经济体之间互惠减让模式的压力日益增强;3.创新数字经济全球化规则体系的进程变得更加复杂。对此,我国提出了“加快形成以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局”的对外开放新战略。这一新战略的提出迫切需要我们对全球经济“大变局”做出一系列的反应,其中主要包括:1.做好从“贸易战”转向“规则战”的准备;2.尽快突破要素价格市场化改革的瓶颈;3.为弥合数字经济全球化鸿沟做应有的贡献。
The global economy has officially entered “great change” phase, marked by the launch of the “301 Survey” by the United States against China in early 2018. At this stage, “rebalancing” of global economic, the reconstruction of global trade rules, and the widening of the globalization gap of the digital economy will appear for a long time. China's external environment for opening up to the outside world has also changed: 1. The adjustment of global supply chain and production layout are speeding up; 2. Mutual beneficial concession models for economies with different market structures is constructing; 3. The digital economic globalization order is becoming more complex. For this, China put forward a new strategy of opening up to the outside world, that is, “to accelerate a new development pattern with a domestic cycle as the main body and a domestic and international dual cycle mutual promotion”. The proposal of this new strategy urgently requires us to make a series of responses to the “great changes” of the global economy, including: 1. Being prepare to shift from “trade war” to “rule war”; 2. Breaking through the bottleneck of factor price market reform as soon as possible; 3. Making due contributions to bridging the globalization gap of the digital economy.
王新奎.关于当前我国对外开放国际环境变化趋势的若干思考[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2020,(6):11-18.
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