高禄:上海工程技术大学管理学院讲师,经济学博士。研究方向:国际贸易、国际金融。
F831.7
本文受上海哲学社会科学规划一般课题“组织期望与企业跨国战略——基于上海民营企业的分析”(项目编号:2019BGL026)资助
资本账户的各子项目对发展中国家的经济效应具有异质性,研究国际资本的差异,有助于采取有效的监管政策。国际资本根据企业融资模式的差异可以分为国际债务资本和国际股权资本,本文通过对两类国际资本进行对比分析,认为不同的国际资本流动对发展中国家经济效应的作用机制存在差异:(1) 国际债务资本流入为一国的经济增长提供了流动性支持,促进利率下降,产生流动性冲击,当国内私人信贷较高时,国际债务流出会提高金融风险,因此政府债务水平制约着国际债务资本的经济效应;(2) 国际股权资本直接介入企业的投融资活动,当一国市场不完善时,道德风险等问题对国际股权资本产生影响,引发金融市场的同质性问题,造成市场的波动,特别是制度质量制约着国际股权资本的经济效应。因此,资本账户开放过程中应建立一定的微观应对机制,针对发展中国家资本流动的监测,仅仅对金融机构进行监测和审慎监管可能是不足的,也应对企业尤其是大型企业对外负债存在的不确定性可能带来的风险与冲击加以关注和监管。
The economic eff ects of capital account’s sub items are heterogenous. And studying the diff erences in international capital can help to adopt effective regulatory policy.We divide international capital into international debt capital and international equity capital, according to the diff erence of channel and eff ect of international capital fl ows. We combine the research of micro corporate fi nance and international economics. We analyze the characteristics and the influence mechanism of two forms international capital flows. This paper believes that there are structural diff erences in the eff ects of international on the domestic economy. The international debt capital inflows can provide liquidity support, but international equity capital inflow make directly credit not liquidity. Domestic debt level leads to international debt capital fl ows have threshold eff ect, while institutional quality leads to international equity capital fl ows have threshold eff ect. So, we should pay attention microeconomic agents (corporates) while opening capital account. And we should construct fi nancial and institutional infrastructure to be prepared to taking capital fl ow liberalization and establish the framework of capital fl ow management measures to avoid the risks. Studying the structural diff erences in international capital fl ows is of great practical signifi cance for gaining a deeper understanding of the characteristics of international capital and taking eff ective regulatory measures.
高禄,葛菲.发展中国家国际资本流动的经济效应分析——基于国际债务资本和国际股权资本的对比*[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2023,(4):21-34.
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