高静:河北科技师范学院工商管理学院、海洋经济与沿海经济带研究中心讲师,硕士生导师,经济学博士。主要研究方向:空间模型、数据分析。
本文受河北科技师范学院省属高校基本科研业务费专项项目“减税政策驱动下社会保险与商业保险的跨区域联动”(项目编号:2020JK021)、河北省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地经费资助
社会保障城乡融合是有效推动社会保障城乡一体化的重要因素,也是弥合社会保障城乡差距的重要举措。本文运用全局熵值法、Dagum 基尼系数、Kernel 密度估计和方差分解方法对 2012 ~ 2020 年我国 27 个省份的社会保障城乡融合水平进行多维指标测算、区域差异分解、动态演进分析和结构方差分解。研究发现,我国社会保障城乡融合综合水平较低,但呈现增长态势,并且存在明显的区域差异,整体上呈现东部>中部>西部的格局, 而从子系统来看,社会保险提升最快,社会救助最高;区域间差异总体上看呈现出稳定下降的趋势,主要来源是区域间差异,其次是区域内部差异;从动态演进来讲,社会保障城乡融合的核密度曲线峰值左移,峰高逐年攀升,波峰宽度逐渐缩窄并且存在右拖尾现象,说明我国社会保障城乡融合绝对差异呈现明显缩小趋势,特别是东部区域和西部区域,但中部区域则呈扩大趋势;方差分解表明,社会保险是城乡融合综合水平产生差异的主要来源,其次是社会救助,最小则是社会福利,但各个区域的方差分解不尽相同。 基于研究,从强化顶层设计、加强区域合作和各个系统协调发展方面提出了相关建议, 以助于提升社会保障城乡融合水平,并助于扎实推动共同富裕与提升广大民众的获得感、 幸福感和满足感。
The integration of urban and rural areas of social security is an important starting point for narrowing the gap between urban and rural areas of social security, and it is also a key factor in determining the process of urban-rural integration of social security. Constructing an evaluation index system for urban-rural integration of social security from the three dimensions of social insurance, social assistance and social welfare, this paper uses the global entropy method, Dagum Gini coeffi cient, Kernel density estimation and variance decomposition method to multi dimensionally calculate the overall social security and urban-rural integration levels of 27 provinces from 2012 to 2020 and the urban-rural integration level of the three dimensions. The study found that the overall level of urban-rural integration of social security in China is low, but there is a growth trend, and there are obvious regional diff erences, as a whole, the pattern of eastern > central > western, and from the perspective of subsystem, the level of urban-rural integration of social insurance is the fastest, and the level of urban-rural integration of social assistance is the highest; In terms of regional diff erences alone, there is a steady downward trend overall, and interregional differences are the main source of the overall differences in urban-rural integration of social security, followed by intraregional diff erences; From the perspective of dynamic evolution, the main peak position of the nuclear density curve of urban-rural integration of social security in China has shifted to the left, the height of the crest is rising, the width of the crest is constantly narrowing and there is a phenomenon of right tailing, indicating that the absolute difference between urban and rural integration of social security in China shows a signifi cant trend of narrowing, and the absolute diff erence between the eastern and western regions shows a narrowing trend, but the central region shows an expanding trend; The variance decomposition shows that social insurance diff erences are the main source of the comprehensive level of urbanrural integration, and the diff erence in social welfare dimensions after the social assistance dimension contributes the least, but the variance decomposition is not the same in various regions, especially social assistance plays an important role in narrowing the gap between the urban-rural integration structure of social security in the eastern and central regions, and social welfare also plays the same role in the western region. Finally, this paper puts forward relevant suggestions from the aspects of strengthening top-level involvement, strengthening regional cooperation and coordinated development of various systems, which will not only help improve the integration of urban and rural areas of social security, but also help to solidly promote common prosperity and enhance the sense of gain, happiness and satisfaction of the broad masses of people.
高静,初立苹.社会保障城乡融合水平的区域差异、动态演进与结构分解*[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2023,(4):101-124.
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