戴翔:南京审计大学经济学院教授,博士生导师,经济学博士。研究方向:开放型经济理论与实践、全球价值链与中国产业发展。
F010
高质量要素投入及其优化配置,是制造业实现高质量发展的微观基础。“双循环”通过培育和引进的双重作用,提升制造业要素投入层次和水平,并在实现其优化配置中推动制造业高质量发展。以此理论分析为先导,在科学构建和测度制造业高质量发展及“双循环”指标基础上,利用 2009~2021 年中国制造业行业层面的面板数据开展的计量检验表明 : 第一,内循环、外循环及其相互促进,对我国制造业高质量发展的确产生了显著推动作用,这一结论在各种稳健性检验与内生性检验下依然成立;第二, 分技术层次检验发现,“双循环”对高技术产业高质量发展促进效果更好;第三,从具体作用机制来看,人力资本积累、技术创新能力提升以及资源配置效率改善,是“双循环”助推制造业高质量发展的内在作用机制;第四,以行业市场规模为表征的经济要素,在“双循环”促进制造业高质量发展中起到正向调节作用。有鉴于此,本文认为我国当前亟待加快构建和形成双循环新发展格局,为制造业高质量发展进一步夯实微观要素基础。
High-quality factor input and its optimal allocation are the micro basis for manufacturing industry to achieve high-quality development. Through the dual role of cultivation and introduction, the “double cycle” improves the level and level of manufacturing factor input, and promotes the high-quality development of manufacturing industry in realizing its optimal confi guration. Guided by this theoretical analysis, on the basis of scientifi cally constructing and measuring the high-quality development of manufacturing industry and the “double cycle” index, the quantitative test conducted by using the panel data of China’s manufacturing industry from 2009 to 2021 shows that, first, the internal cycle, the external cycle and their mutual promotion have indeed played a signifi cant role in promoting the high-quality development of China’s manufacturing industry. This conclusion is still valid under various robustness tests and endogeneity tests. Second, according to the technical level test found that the “double cycle” has a better effect on the high-quality development of high-tech industries. Third, from the specifi c mechanism of action, the accumulation of human capital, the improvement of technological innovation ability and the improvement of resource allocation efficiency are the internal mechanism of the “double cycle” to promote the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry. Fourth, the economic factors characterized by the industry market size play a positive regulating role in the “double cycle” to promote the high-quality development of manufacturing industry. The theoretical hypothesis has been tested by logical consistency measurement. In the future, it is urgent to accelerate the construction and formation of a new dual-cycle development pattern, and further consolidate the foundation of micro-elements for the high-quality development of the manufacturing industry.
戴翔,刘长鹏,张雨.双循环缘何推动制造业高质量发展——基于要素投入视角[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2024,(2):5-25.
复制