1.广东药科大学医药商学院,广州 510006 ;2.上海商学院商务经济学院,上海 201400
熊然(通信作者):广东药科大学医药商学院讲师。研究方向:国际投资。
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本文受教育部人文社会科学研究项目“在华外商撤资对本土企业的影响及对策研究”(项目编号:24YJC790202)、广东省哲学社会科学规划项目“逆全球化背景下的外商撤资与风险控制研究:以珠三角城市群为例”(项目编号:GD24YYJ05)、国家自然科学基金青年项目“异质性碳规制政策对企业绿色创新决策影响:理论与中国经验”(项目编号:72404089)共同资助
1.School of Pharmaceutical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, 510006 , China ; 2.College ofBusiness and Economics, Shanghai Business School, Shanghai, 201400 , China
本文在数字经济快速发展和稳外资压力不断增加的双重背景下,以“宽带中国”试点政策作为数字基础设施建设的准自然实验,基于 2005~2021 年我国 281 个地级市面板数据,采用 PSM-DID 方法探讨数字基础设施建设对城市外资吸引力的影响效应及其内在机制。结果显示,以“宽带中国”试点政策为代表的数字基础设施建设产生了显著的外资吸引效应,扩大市场规模、驱动技术创新和提升产业集聚是数字基础设施建设作用于城市外资吸引力的中间渠道。进一步分析发现,数字基础设施建设对高技术制造业和高技术服务业的外资吸引力也产生了显著的促进作用,进而有利于外资结构的优化升级。需要注意的是,数字基础设施建设的外资吸引效应主要源自对存量外资退出的缓解作用,且不同批次试点政策对城市外资吸引力的积极效应呈现出递减规律。本文不仅为政府进一步加强数字基础设施建设提供了支持证据, 而且为新形势和新挑战之下稳外资目标的实现提供了有益思路。
Against the background of rapid development of the digital economy and the mounting pressure to stabilize foreign direct investment (FDI), this paper leverages the “Broadband China” pilot policy as a quasinatural experiment of digital infrastructure construction. Based on panel data from 281 cities in China from 2005 to 2021, we employ a combination of the diff erence-in-diff erences (DID) method and propensity score matching (PSM) to investigate the impact of digital infrastructure construction on city-level FDI attractiveness and the underline mechanisms. The results show that the digital infrastructure construction, represented by the “Broadband China” pilot policy, has produced a significant effect in attracting FDI. Expanding market size, driving technological innovation, and enhancing industrial agglomeration are the intermediate channels through which digital infrastructure construction affects FDI attractiveness. Further analysis indicates that digital infrastructure construction has also signifi cantly promoted the attractiveness of FDI in high-tech manufacturing and high-tech service industries, thereby facilitating the optimization and upgrading of the FDI structure. It is noteworthy that the eff ect of digital infrastructure on attracting FDI is primarily derived from its capacity to mitigate the divestment of foreign capital. Additionally, the positive impact of pilot policy on the attractiveness of FDI exhibits a diminishing trend in diff erent batches. This paper not only provides supportive evidence for the government to augment its eff orts in digital infrastructure construction but also off ers valuable implications for achieving the goal of stabilizing FDI amidst new circumstances and challenges.
熊然,张程程.数字基础设施建设对城市外资吸引力的影响研究——基于“宽带中国”试点政策的准自然实验[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2025,(6):35-50.
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