1.淮阴工学院商学院,江苏淮安 223014 ;2.山东财经大学中国国际低碳学院,济南 250014
张晨霞:淮阴工学院商学院讲师,经济学博士。研究方向:跨境投资。
刘满成:淮阴工学院商学院教授,硕士生导师,管理学博士。研究方向:技术经济。
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本文受山东省自然科学基金青年项目“数字经济赋能山东省制造业绿色化转型的机理与政策优化研究”(项目编号:ZR2023QG135)、山东省社会科学规划青年项目“数字金融助力山东省工业碳减排的机制与政策研究”(项目编号:22DJJJ27)、淮阴工学院引进人才科研启动项目“中国境外经贸合作区的低碳转型实现机制与政策协同研究”(项目编号:Z301B24536)共同资助
1.School of Business, Huaiyin Institute of Technology, Huai’an 223014 , Jiangsu, China ; 2.International School of Low-carbonStudies, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014 , China
包容性增长一直以来是中非共同利益和愿景的交集,是未来发展的重要方向。本文基于中非境外经贸合作区设立这一准自然实验,以世界经济论坛提出的包容性增长指标体系为基础,探究合作区设立与东道国包容性增长的因果关系。研究发现,合作区设立具有显著的包容性增长效应,该结论在平行趋势检验、双重机器学习等稳健性检验中均成立。 合作区的包容性增长效应在北部非洲、收入水平较高、不平等程度较高、文化距离较低的国家中更加明显,尤其是通过考核的合作区以及由国企主导投资的合作区。进一步地, 合作区与东道国特征因素的协同效应检验显示,制度质量与合作区存在联动效应,而自然资源未显现此效应;利用 Oaxaca-Blinder 模型对包容性增长进行分解发现,“多园区组” 的布局使得包容性增长更快。研究结果为合作区成为非洲经济增长和减贫新引擎提供经验证据,也对中非共同推动包容性增长具有重要启示。
Inclusive growth has always been the intersection of China and Africa’s common interests and visions, and is an important direction for future development. Based on the quasi-natural experiment of the establishment of the China-Africa Overseas Economic and Trade Cooperation Zone, this paper explores the causal relationship between the establishment of the cooperation zone and the inclusive growth of the host country based on the inclusive growth index system proposed by the World Economic Forum. The study found that the establishment of the cooperation zone has a significant inclusive growth effect, which is established in robustness tests such as parallel trend test and dual machine learning. The inclusive growth effect of cooperation zones is more obvious in northern Africa, countries with high income levels, high inequality and low cultural distance, especially in cooperation zones that pass assessments and cooperation zones that are invested by state-owned enterprises. Further, the synergistic eff ect test of the characteristic factors of the cooperation zone and the host country shows that there is a linkage eff ect between the quality of the system and the cooperation zone, while the natural resources do not show this eff ect; by using the Oaxaca-Blinder model to decompose the inclusive growth, it is found that the layout of “multi-park group” makes the inclusive growth faster. The research results provide empirical evidence for the cooperative zone to become a new engine of economic growth and poverty reduction in Africa, and also have important implications for China and Africa to jointly promote inclusive growth.
张晨霞,陈默,刘满成.从愿景到行动:中非境外经贸合作区的包容性增长效应[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2025,(6):51-67.
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