1.上海对外经贸大学国际发展合作研究院,上海 200336 ;2.复旦大学经济学院,上海 200433
阎虹戎:上海对外经贸大学国际发展合作研究院副研究员。研究方向:跨国公司与国际直接投资。
F42
本文受国家社会科学基金青年项目“生产网络视角下外商撤资对我国产业安全的影响与对策研究”(项目编号:24CJL024)的资助
1.International Development Cooperation Academy, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai 200336 , China ;2.School of Economics, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433 , China
随着劳动力成本等传统优势的减弱,通过人力资本积累促进制造业引资“增量提质”具有重要意义。 本文利用商务部新设外资企业数据,以高校扩招政策的实施作为准自然实验,构建三重差分模型识别了人力资本积累对制造业引资规模与质量的影响。研究发现,扩招程度越大的城市、人力资本密集度越高的行业,在 2003 年及之后吸引外资规模增长越大,说明人力资本积累有助于促进制造业外资流入。这种积极影响在教育资源质量高、理工科扩招程度大、贸易便利度高和制度环境良好的地区中更为突出,且在长期中呈现出了先增强后减弱的变化特征。机制检验表明,人力资本积累能够在生产端提升外资的生产效率,在消费端拓展外资面临的国内市场规模,由此促进制造业外资流入。 进一步研究发现,人力资本积累对提高制造业引资质量具有一定的积极影响,促进了规模较大的、 研发密集型和人力资本丰裕国家的外资流入,但并未导致引资结构升级。本文研究对于我国深化高等教育改革和构建制造业引资新优势具有启示意义。
How to build new advantages to attract foreign direct investment (FDI) in manufacturing sector is becoming more and more important especially when the traditional comparative advantages including labor costs are weakening. Using a unique quasi natural experiment in China that substantially expanded college access for high-school graduates starting in 1999, the paper applies the diff erence-in-diff erence-in-diff erences strategy to identify the eff ects of human capital accumulation on FDI. Empirical results show that cities with a higher level of human capital accumulation attract larger scale of FDI in industries with higher human capital intensity. This positive eff ect is more signifi cant in regions with higher quality educational resources, larger expansion of enrollment in the fi elds of science and engineering, higher level of trade facilitation and better institutional environments. In the long run, the accumulation of human capital can continue to exert a positive impact on FDI. Mechanism testing shows that the accumulation of human capital promotes the infl ow of FDI through improving the production effi ciency and expanding market size for foreign fi rms in China. From the perspective of the quality of FDI, we fi nd the accumulation of human capital promotes the entry of multinational companies which are large, R&D intensive and from skilled-labor-abundant countries, but does not impact the upgrading of FDI structure. This study is helpful for deepening higher education reform and enhancing the advantages of attracting FDI in manufacturing sector
阎虹戎,田素华.人力资本积累与制造业引资“增量提质”[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2026,33(2):17-33.
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