1.安徽财经大学经济学院,安徽蚌埠 233030 ;2.中共中央党校(国家行政学院)经济学教研部,北京 100091 ;3.莆田学院商学院,福建莆田 351100
胡春阳:安徽财经大学经济学院副教授,硕士生导师,研究方向:人工智能与新质生产力;
敖俊:中共中央党校(国家行政学院)经济学教研部博士研究生,研究方向:新质生产力;
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本文受安徽财经大学校级重点科研项目 "国际势差视域下泛终端芯片产业关键核心技术攻关的新型举国体制模式及路径研究"(项目编号:ACKYB23009)、安徽省社会科学创新发展研究课题 "人工智能赋能安徽新能源汽车产业高质量发展的机制与效应研究"(课题编号:2024CX049)的资助
1. School of Economics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030 , Anhui, China ; 2. Teaching and Research Department of Economics, Party School of the CPC Central Committee (National Academy of Governance), Beijing 100091 , China ; 3. School of Business, Putian University, Putian 351100 , Fujian, China
农业新质生产力是新质生产力的重要组成部分,为推动农民农村共同富裕提供了新思路新途径。基于2012~2022年中国30个省市面板数据,本文考察农业新质生产力对农民农村共同富裕的影响机理及效应。研究表明,农业新质生产力对农民农村共同富裕的影响具有 "U型" 非线性特征,当前者发展水平高于0.508时,有利于推动农民农村共同富裕。异质性分析显示,作为对农民农村共同富裕水平影响最大的特征变量,在居民消费水平较低的地区,农业新质生产力对农民农村共同富裕的边际影响较大且拐点左移。进一步分析揭示了农民创业在其中的关键作用,以及农民收入和收入差距非同步变化形成的阶段性特征。此外,农业社会化服务水平越高,农业新质生产力的 "U型" 效应越显著;农村收入差距过大则会使该影响退化为线性负效应。因此,需要政府夯实农业新质生产力要素和制度基础,激发农民创业热情,正确处理 "共同" 和 "富裕" 的关系,并大力发展农业社会化服务,多措并举筑牢农民农村共同富裕的农业新质生产力基础。
Agricultural new quality productivity, as a crucial component of new quality productivity, offer fresh insights and innovative pathways for advancing common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas. Hence, this paper empirically examines the impact mechanism of agricultural new quality productivity on common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas, based on panel data from 30 provinces and municipalities in China spanning from 2012 to 2022. The results show that the impact of agricultural new quality productivity on common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas has a U-shaped nonlinear characteristic with increasing marginal returns. When the development level of the former is higher than 0.508, it is conducive to promoting common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas. The heterogeneity analysis shows that as the characteristic variable with the greatest impact on the level of common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas, in regions with lower levels of residents' consumption, the marginal impact of agricultural new quality productivity on common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas is larger and the inflection point shifts to the left. The mechanism analysis reveals the key role of farmers' entrepreneurship and the phased characteristics formed by the asynchronous changes in farmers' income and the income gap. In addition, the higher the level of agricultural socialized services, the more significant the U-shaped effect of agricultural new quality productivity; while excessive rural income disparity will cause this impact to degenerate into a linear negative effect. Therefore, the government needs to consolidate the elements and institutional basis of agricultural new quality productivity, stimulate farmers' enthusiasm for entrepreneurship, correctly handle the relationship between "common" and "prosperity", and vigorously develop agricultural socialized services to jointly build a solid foundation of agricultural new quality productivity for common prosperity among farmers and in rural areas.
胡春阳,敖俊,郑登元.农业新质生产力对农民农村共同富裕的非线性影响研究——基于农民创业视角[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2026,33(5):51-68.
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