上海大学经济学院,上海 200444
刘奎(通信作者):上海大学经济学院副教授,硕士生导师。研究方向:能源经济和环境经济。
C913.6/X51
本文受国家社会科学基金一般项目“基于深度学习模型的中国区域投入产出表预测研究”(项目编号:24BTJ014)资助
School of Economics, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444 , China
基本养老服务体系的健全与完善须以精准回应中老年群体的实际健康需求为导向。本文基于中国健康与养老追踪调查(CHARLS)数据,采用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)分析空气污染对我国中老年人自理能力的影响。研究发现,暴露窗口内PM2.5浓度每增加1μg/m3,中老年人的日常生活自理能力(ADL)、基本日常生活自理能力(BADL)和工具性日常生活自理能力(IADL)的受损程度相对于样本均值分别上升8.40%、7.93%和8.90%。异质性分析表明,空气污染对洗澡、上厕所、购物和财务管理四项活动影响最为显著,对女性、受教育水平较低、室内空气质量较差及高污染地区的中老年人损害更大。机制分析表明,空气污染通过增加心血管疾病的患病人次、损害认知水平间接影响自理能力。进一步研究发现,子女的经济支持和陪伴能有效缓解上述负面冲击。
In the context of population aging, the establishment and improvement of the basic elderly care service system must be oriented toward precisely addressing the actual health needs of middle-aged and elderly individuals. Based on data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), this paper employs a two-stage least squares (2SLS) approach to analyze the effects of air pollution on the self-care ability of China's middle-aged and elderly population. The results show that a 1 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 concentration during the exposure window raises the impairment levels of Activities of Daily Living (ADL), Basic Activities of Daily Living (BADL), and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) by 8.40%, 7.93%, and 8.90% relative to their sample means, respectively. Heterogeneity analyses indicate that air pollution has the most significant effects on four specific activities—bathing, toileting, shopping, and finance management—and inflicts greater damage on women, the less educated, individuals exposed to poor indoor air quality, and residents of highly polluted areas. Mechanism analysis shows that air pollution indirectly affects the self-care ability of middle-aged and elderly people by increasing the incidence of cardiovascular diseases and impairing cognitive ability. Further analysis finds that financial support and companionship provided by children can effectively buffer the above negative ability shocks.
刘奎,潘锐,马玥君.空气污染与中老年人自理能力——基于CHARLS数据的实证分析[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2026,33(5):109-124.
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