1.辽宁大学经济学院, 沈阳 110036 ; 2.兰州财经大学经济学院, 兰州 730101 ; 3.甘肃省丝绸之路经济研究院, 兰州 730101
程亚楠(通信作者):辽宁大学经济学院博士研究生。研究方向:数字经济与产业经济。
F062.9
本文受国家社会科学基金项目“乡村振兴背景下城乡收入差距的空间异质性研究”(项目编号:20BJL146)和吉林省社会科学基金项目“吉林省构建特色现代化产业体系路径研究”(项目编号:2025SZ3)的资助
1. School of Economics, Liaoning University, Shenyang 110036 , China ; 2. School of Economics, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou 730101 , China ; 3. Gansu Institute of Silk Road Economic Research, Lanzhou 730101 , China
当前,供应链发展逻辑已由“效率驱动”转变为“韧性驱动”,如何有效提升链上企业智能化水平、缩小链位间技术差距,成为推动供应链适配新形势、增强整体协同效能的关键。本文基于2012~2024年A股上市公司供应链关联数据,从供应链视角考察核心企业人工智能的双向溢出效应、作用机制、边界条件及其经济后果。研究发现:核心企业人工智能存在显著的供应链双向溢出效应,但呈现明显的链位非对称特征,表现为向上游供应商的扩散强于向下游客户的扩散;机制检验发现,供应链组织结构演化是人工智能实现跨企业扩散的重要基础,供应链多元化、专业化与共创化促进人工智能在供应链中的双向传播;异质性分析发现,核心企业议价能力、企业间技术鸿沟、空间阻力以及知识承接能力共同塑造了人工智能供应链扩散的实现边界;拓展性分析表明,人工智能供应链溢出能够有效缓解上下游企业供应链风险,并对提升供应链协同稳定性产生积极影响。本文不仅为理解人工智能在供应链体系中的协同演化提供新的分析框架,同时也为推进供应链智能化转型与现代产业体系建设提供经验证据与政策启示。
At present, the development logic of the supply chain has shifted from “efficiency driven” to “resilience driven”. How to effectively improve the AI level of enterprises along the supply chain and narrow the technological gap across chain positions has become the key to facilitating supply chain adaptation to the new landscape and enhancing overall collaboration efficiency. This paper uses supply chain linkage data of A-share listed enterprises from 2012 to 2024 to examine the bidirectional spillover effect, mechanism, boundary conditions and economic consequences of artificial intelligence (AI) adopted by core enterprises from the supply chain perspective. The results show that AI of core enterprises exerts a significant bidirectional spillover effect along the supply chain, yet this effect presents obvious asymmetry across supply chain positions: the diffusion toward upstream suppliers is stronger than that toward downstream customers. Mechanism tests reveal that the evolution of supply chain organizational structure serves as an important foundation for cross-enterprise AI diffusion. Supply chain diversification, specialization and co-creation facilitate the bidirectional transmission of AI within supply chains. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the bargaining power of core enterprises, inter-enterprise technological gaps, spatial frictions and knowledge absorption capacity jointly shape the boundary conditions for AI diffusion in supply chains. Extended analyses demonstrate that AI spillovers in supply chains can effectively mitigate supply chain risks for upstream and downstream enterprises and exert positive impacts on improving the collaborative stability of supply chains. This paper provides a novel analytical framework for understanding the co-evolution of AI within supply chain systems, and offers empirical evidence and policy implications for advancing the intelligent transformation of supply chains and the construction of modern industrial systems.
程亚楠,刘达,王淑瑶.供应链视角下核心企业人工智能的溢出效应与作用机制研究[J].上海对外经贸大学学报,2026,33(6):19-37.
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